A Weblog Dedicated to the Discussion of the Christian Faith and 21st Century Life

A Weblog Dedicated to the Discussion of the Christian Faith and 21st Century Life
I do not seek to understand that I may believe, but I believe in order to understand. For this also I believe, –that unless I believed, I should not understand.-- St. Anselm of Canterbury (1033-1109)

Sunday, February 18, 2007

Could Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Just Fade Into the Sunset?

In poll after poll, the American people view the current President of Iran as one of the most worrisome figures currently on the world stage. This is understandable given his vitriolic rhetoric concerning the State of Israel, the denial of the Holocaust, and his comments on the United States. As long as he is in power he is a threat that must be taken seriously; but is it possible that Mahmoud the Terrible will go out, not in a blaze of glory, but with a whimper? Consider the following:

-Many Iranians, especially the younger generations (and there are plenty of them) are quite unhappy with Ahmadinejad and the rule of the Mullahs.

-The younger generations love Western culture and desire a free society.

-During Ahmadinejad’s reign, the economy of Iran has deteriorated as precious resources have been spent in support of terror-related activities in other regions of the Middle East.

-If neglect and mismanagement of the oil export continues, it will result in an annual decrease in production squeezing the economy even further.

-Many in the Iranian parliament are unhappy with Ahmadinejad, and in general, local politicians in Iran do not support him.

This list is not meant to suggest that the situation in Iran is simple and can be easily resolved. It is quite complex and there are many other things to consider. Yet, it is the case that Ahmadinejad has enough discontent to contend with at home, that given the right confluence of events, it may well be that the man who has captured the world’s attention with his outlandish speech and not-so-veiled threats, will find himself simply out of a job at the hands of his own people.

If such a scenario looms on the horizon at some point, the huge dilemma is that in a desperate move to retain power, Ahmadinejad may well attempt something drastic to unite the hardliners in the Arab world; nothing would do that more quickly than an attack against Israel.

There can be no denying that Israel will indeed act preemptively should it feel Ahmadinejad has moved from rhetorical vitriole to real and immediate threat; and it will do so regardless of world opinion. The Israeli’s fears are well-founded. If need be they will attrempt to take care of the situation, but that will, of course, create complex and difficult problems of its own.

Thus the best hope for Iran is to be found in the Iranian people. There is no one else who has more of an opportunity to relegate Ahmadinejad to nothing other than a footnote in the recording of world history. The Bush Administration and other politicians in America would be well advised to keep the charged language to a minimum. The people of Iran are genuinely afraid of being attacked by the United States and such talk will only drive an unhappy Iranian populace toward their leaders for solidarity and protection.

If Ahmadinejad indeed went out with a whimper, it would make for one less problem in a region that is beset with them.

+ + + + + + +

Cross-Posted at RedBlueChristian.


Ted M. Gossard said...

Allan, I couldn't agree more! Thanks.

Allan R. Bevere said...


Thanks. One less issue to deal with in that region of the world would be welcome news.